Check out this New York Times editorial, which describes a plan by New Jersey Governor John Corzine to balance his state's finances. The plan envisions dramatic increases in New Jersey road tolls - from $5.85 for the length of the New Jersey Turnpike to $48 by 2022.
The editorial further mentions that New Jersey will get the money up front, through bonds that will be repaid by the tolls. Mr. Corzine wants to use the funds for debt retirement (New Jersey owes creditors some $32 billion) and public transportation. How terribly inconvenient for the bondholders if future governors, under pressure from strapped voters, decided to lower the tolls, so...
"Mr. Corzine says the legislation, which has yet to be unveiled, would
prohibit governors from meddling in operations or reducing the toll
increases."
I don't know (and don't care to know) much about New Jersey's politics
and finances. But consider what this legislation will do: about half of the $38 billion to be raised will go to debt reduction, leaving the remaining $19 billion available for immediate new spending and job creation. Current voters will get the benefit, while future voters will be saddled with a huge toll burden to retire the bonds.
Since current voters win, political support for the proposal is all but assured. But doesn't this sound like "borrow to spend now, but pay later" - just what New Jersey has done all along? What's different? Sure the editorial says that legislators should "work with Mr. Corzine on the other part of his proposal:
putting in place measures to end the irresponsible spending that
produced this financial mess." Where's the political pressure going to come from to ensure that this happens? We all know the answer.
Fiscal restraint and responsibility will only come when the political pressure to spend more is matched by the political pressure not to raise taxes. This proposal does nothing to help establish this, and in fact it makes matters worse. Mark my words - New Jersey per capita spending and its debt burden will be higher in real terms by 2022 than it is today.