When does Money Start to Eat Itself?
I post this offering from PFP Wealth Management without comment.
Economist John Tamny is similarly sceptical, recalling the words of Ludwig Von Mises that the entrepreneur who fails to use his capital to the best possible satisfaction of consumers is "relegated to a place in which his ineptitude no longer hurts people's well-being". Detroit's so-called Big Three are curiously vestigial entities - embarrassing, mismanaged throwbacks to the dawn of car-making. And there can be little doubt that any business (such as General Motors) that has posted $70 billion in losses over the past four years - versus a current market capitalisation of just $1.8 billion - is hardly a success story. President-elect Barack Obama has described US carmakers as "the backbone of American manufacturing". This particular backbone has advanced osteoporosis.
Citigroup's Hans Kullberg ("Reconstructing America: Why the US Government should turn a blind eye to US automakers.. and invest in the future") has written an interesting piece in which he details the extent of the problems facing the US auto sector, but also puts forward a strategic alternative simply to shovelling money at them (in the form of investing into energy and alternative energy infrastructure):
"Every time I see a commercial on television advertising a "0% APR No-Fees, No-Money Down" loan for a car, I cringe. The average American household currently owns 2.28 cars - how many of these are idle? The days of "buy now and pay later" are over, meaning there's no money left to buy cars, meaning there's no money left to support the auto industry, meaning there's no sales revenues to pay absurd pension plans, meaning there's no reason for the US Government to extend a lifeline simply to postpone the inevitable future of a futile auto industry. Although politically appeasing, to do so would be a disservice to the American taxpayer, which is a much larger contingent than the 2 million or so odd jobs that would be saved. It's readily apparent the "modest" loan would be used simply to renegotiate debt terms which are now trading at 25 cents on the dollar and yielding over 30% a year. To put off the day of reckoning will make the downfall worse when it finally comes."
But then, let he who doesn't need government money cast the first stone. And the problem with government money is that in most jurisdictions the very term is a misnomer, because governments too are already heavily indebted, so it's taxpayers' money we're really talking about. And this gets us to the heart of the debate: at what tipping point do effectively unlimited guarantees and capital support by governments start to become self-defeating, inasmuch as they start to erode belief in the very instruments (specifically, government bonds, and in due course fiat currency) from which they are constructed ? Or to put it another way, when does money start to eat itself?

